S&P500 - Waiting...

The S&P500 is holding the neckline, not good for bears. Anyway, price is lower than 1392.78 and most important, not escaping from 1371...

This hourly rally can continue a bit longer but i am looking to another test to yesterday close/lows...



S&P500 - "The number of the beast"

First, as a reminder, a quick look to the daily chart. S&P500 is trading at 1365.34
Ok, everyone is going to do this (Head & Shoulders) trade, which can be very dangerous, but make a plan and trade it, one should keep in mind these kind of patterns are very useful to find correction targets...
I think S&P500 can kiss 200 days e.m.a. (today at 1304) if it breaks down the neckline

I accept the possbility of a bullish correction, which would mean this down movement is a buy opportunity.
But that is not what I am thinking, so let me be clear enough:

I am expecting new lows for the S&P500. Yes, new multi-year lows, S&P500 is going to trade under "the number of the beast". I will "technically" defend this if sellers manage to keep the index under 1371...

S&P500 - Setup

You are right! I was not expecting ES_F above 1366.25 (1372). And now I am not expecting it above 1388 (1393). Perhaps I am wrong (again)!...

S&P500 - 1371... Again...

Looks like price do not want bears to go away, or even worse, is trying to wash out all the bulls out there. The big-picture signaled the first warning in months...

The daily chart is also pointing down and one should defend a bearish bias under the short term exponential moving averages (Stay bearish if S&P500 < 1392.78).

Keep in mind that volatility is holding above 15. Last week price action could mean that, on the contrary, VIX is about to explode on the upside...



S&P500 - Above 1371...

Here we are again, still trying to regain previous short term support, but clearly above 1371. I maintain a neutral bias above 1371 and under the area pointed out on daily chart...

Price is right at my 2nd bang bang area (previous update), so this is, at least for me, a tradable spot. Yes, I defended a 3rd area above, where S&P500 can draw a second shoulder, but for now, I am not in the mood to hold shorts till there...

Sentiment is improving, but can afford another high... Easily...



S&P500 - Only 1371 can save this...

Since Palindrome day, my line in the sand is well known. I lost all hope on my clear "strong (all time-frames) bearish view" when markets, flying above 1371 (in another FED´s day), climbed to May 2008 highs, ...
Starting on my birthday (3rd of April), price action gave me and the bears, a second chance.

Markets contemplated us (me and the bears) with a top that make my line in the sand even more strong, as it puts the golden retracement right at my key level...

The trend is up for up to 5 months now, so bull can always strike back if they manage to hold 1371, 1340 or even 1289. But lets stay focused on 1371.

Bulls, hold this one, or bears will wait you at 1340. This week...

Short term bang bang areas: 1368/71, 1379/83 and finally 1402/07.

MSFT - A breakdown with a gap down...

Yday close will be the key (31.94). I defend a test to the 200 days e.m.a. (now at 28.28)